UK temperatures could reach 28C this weekend with above-average warmth extending into next week

The UK is forecast to experience temperatures of 22-28C this weekend, with south-east England potentially reaching 28C on Sunday, around 6-8C above average for early June. While warmer-than-average weather is expected to continue into next week, it remains uncertain whether conditions will meet the official heatwave definition, which requires three consecutive days above 25-28C depending on location. The forecast depends on the positioning of high pressure systems, with some weather models disagreeing on whether conditions will persist or be interrupted by Atlantic weather systems.
The UK is set to experience significantly warmer-than-average temperatures this weekend, with highs of 22-27C across most of England and Wales, potentially reaching 28C in south-east England by Sunday. These temperatures represent a 6-8C departure above normal for early June, with some warmth extending to Northern Ireland and southern Scotland (20-22C), while northern areas remain closer to average (17-20C). The warmer weather is forecast to persist into the following week, though uncertainty remains about whether conditions will constitute an official heatwave, which requires temperatures exceeding 25-28C (depending on location) for three consecutive days. Meteorological disagreement exists among forecast models regarding high pressure positioning: some models maintain high pressure over the UK to sustain mid- to high 20s temperatures, while others predict eastward movement allowing Atlantic westerlies to return with cooler conditions and precipitation. The outcome will significantly affect whether the weekend warmth develops into a sustained heatwave event.
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The UK could hit 28C this weekend - is another heatwave on the way?
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