Pakistan Economic Survey Projects 3.7% GDP Growth for FY2026 Amid Regional Challenges

Pakistan's government released its annual Economic Survey projecting 3.7% real GDP growth for the fiscal year ending June 2026. The survey highlights economic resilience despite challenges including tariffs, floods, and regional conflict, with notable achievements in fiscal discipline and inflation control. The report demonstrates Pakistan's efforts to stabilize its economy through expenditure control and revenue mobilization.
Pakistan's Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb presented the Pakistan Economic Survey (PES) for FY2025-26, projecting real GDP growth at 3.7% for the fiscal year ending June 2026. The survey reflects economic resilience despite multiple headwinds: initial tariff uncertainties that were overcome by July, floods in August-September 2025, and a regional conflict in March 2026. Key economic indicators show average CPI inflation at 6.7% (July-May period), a current account deficit of $252 million (July-April), and a trade deficit of $23.53 billion (July-March). The government achieved its strongest fiscal performance in decades with a fiscal deficit of just 0.7% of GDP (July-March period) and a primary surplus of 3.2% of GDP, supported by expenditure control, revenue mobilization, and provincial surpluses.
What different sources said
- DawnCenter
PES FY2026: GDP growth higher than last year but falls short of 4.2pc target
- Channel NewsAsiaCenter
Pakistan economic survey projects real GDP growth at 3.7% in FY26
- DawnCenter
Govt unveils Pakistan Economic Survey report for outgoing fiscal year
- DawnCenter
Economy grows 3.7pc in FY26 — fastest in four years, but short of target
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