Morgan Stanley Forecasts AI-Related Global Debt Issuance to Reach $570 Billion in 2026
Morgan Stanley predicts AI-related global debt issuance will more than double to nearly $570 billion in 2026, driven by hyperscalers' massive capital expenditure needs. Tech giants like Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta are increasingly turning to debt financing as their AI infrastructure investments surge, with combined capex expected to exceed $700 billion in 2026 and $1 trillion in 2027. This shift reflects how AI's infrastructure demands are reshaping corporate financing strategies and bond markets.
Morgan Stanley forecasts that AI-related global debt issuance will surge to nearly $570 billion in 2026, more than doubling from approximately $236 billion as of May 31, 2026. The projection reflects hyperscalers' growing reliance on debt financing to fund massive capital expenditures required for AI infrastructure development, with Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta expected to collectively spend over $700 billion in 2026 and surpass $1 trillion in 2027. The brokerage notes that tech companies historically dependent on strong cash flows are increasingly accessing bond markets and broadening their investor base through non-USD issuance. Morgan Stanley expects debt issuance to accelerate in the second half of 2026 as capex demands intensify. Additionally, chip company financing is shifting toward shorter-term deals with structured repayment schedules across both public and private markets.
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Global AI debt issuance to top $500 billion in 2026, Morgan Stanley says
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Morgan Stanley forecasts AI debt issuance to top $570B in 2026
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