No, Gallup Did Not Find 65% of Democrats Sympathize With Palestinians — The Real Number Is Lower
“A Gallup survey found 65 percent of Democrats sympathize with Palestinians versus 17 percent with Israelis”
The argument in brief
A widely shared claim attributes a 65%-to-17% Palestinian-versus-Israeli sympathy split among Democrats to a Gallup survey. That specific breakdown does not exist in any published Gallup poll. The actual Gallup figures from March 2024 show 49% of Democrats sympathizing more with Palestinians versus 38% with Israelis — a real and significant shift, but far from the numbers being cited.
Data: Gallup, March 2024
Why it spread
The claim fits a widely held narrative about the Democratic Party fracturing over Israel and Palestine. For people on both sides of that debate, a dramatic 65%-to-17% split feels like proof of something they already suspect. That emotional fit makes it easy to share and hard to question, especially when the underlying trend — growing Palestinian sympathy among Democrats — is genuinely real.
A claim circulating online states that a Gallup survey found 65 percent of Democrats sympathize more with Palestinians compared to just 17 percent who sympathize more with Israelis. The verdict is partially false. The directional trend is real — Democratic sympathy for Palestinians has grown — but the specific numbers are wrong.
Gallup's most recent relevant survey, conducted in March 2024, found that 49% of Democrats sympathized more with Palestinians and 38% with Israelis. An earlier February 2023 Gallup poll produced the same 49%-to-38% split. Neither survey comes close to the 65%/17% figures in the claim. Gallup's full historical archive of Middle East sympathy polling, which stretches back decades, contains no published result matching those numbers for Democrats as a whole.
Pew Research Center data from 2023 does show higher Palestinian sympathy among liberal Democrats specifically — a subgroup, not all Democrats. That distinction matters. It is possible the 65%/17% figures come from a subgroup breakdown, a different polling organization, or a misremembered or misattributed result. Whatever the source, attributing those numbers to Gallup and to Democrats broadly is not supported by the evidence.
To be fair to the claim's core point: the shift in Democratic opinion is genuine and well-documented. Gallup's longitudinal data shows Palestinian sympathy among Democrats has risen substantially over the past decade. The problem is not the trend — it is the inflation of the numbers, which makes the divide look more dramatic than the data actually shows.
This kind of numerical distortion spreads easily because the underlying story feels plausible. When a statistic confirms something people already believe about political polarization, they share it without checking the source. Watch for claims that cite a well-known pollster like Gallup without linking directly to the poll, or that report suspiciously round or extreme numbers — those are signals to verify before passing it on.
Sources
- Gallup Poll, March 2024
Gallup's March 2024 poll found that among Democrats, 49% sympathized more with Palestinians and 38% sympathized more with Israelis — not the 65%/17% figures cited in the claim.
- Gallup Poll, February 2023
In Gallup's February 2023 survey, 49% of Democrats sympathized more with Palestinians versus 38% with Israelis, marking a notable shift but not matching the claimed figures.
- Gallup Historical Trends on Middle East Sympathies
Gallup's longitudinal data shows Democratic sympathy for Palestinians has grown over time, but no published Gallup survey shows 65% Palestinian sympathy and 17% Israeli sympathy among Democrats.
- Pew Research Center, 2023
Pew found that among liberal Democrats, sympathy for Palestinians was higher than for Israelis, but the specific 65%/17% split does not appear in Pew's published data either.
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