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No, a Fox News Poll Did Not Show Sherrod Brown Leading in Ohio by 8 Points

A Fox News poll showed former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading in Ohio by 8 points

The argument in brief

A claim circulated that a Fox News poll showed former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading his 2024 Ohio Senate race by 8 points. This is false. No such poll exists on record, and Brown actually lost that race to Republican Bernie Moreno by roughly 6 points — a 14-point swing from the claimed figure.

The numbers2024 Ohio Senate Race: Actual Result vs. Claimed Poll

Data: AP Election Results 2024 / RealClearPolitics

Why it spread

Supporters of an underdog candidate are primed to believe and share good news about their side, especially when it comes with the credibility of a named outlet like Fox News. A big lead from an unexpected source feels like validation, and that emotional pull often beats the instinct to verify before clicking share.

A claim spread online that a Fox News poll showed Sherrod Brown leading in Ohio by 8 points during the 2024 Senate race. That claim is false. No verified Fox News poll showing Brown with an 8-point lead has ever been documented, and the actual race went in the opposite direction entirely.

The real polling picture looked nothing like this. According to RealClearPolitics poll averages for the Ohio Senate race, Brown and Republican challenger Bernie Moreno were locked in a tight, competitive contest throughout 2024, with Moreno holding a modest lead in most late polls. An 8-point Brown advantage would have been a dramatic outlier — the kind of number that every major newsroom would have covered immediately. It went unreported because it does not appear to exist.

The election results make the claim even harder to defend. The Associated Press confirmed that Brown lost to Moreno by approximately 6 percentage points. That means the claimed poll would have been off by 14 points from the final result — not a rounding error, but a complete reversal of reality.

PolitiFact found no credible record of this poll either. When a number this large and this significant leaves no trace in news archives, polling databases, or fact-check records, the most straightforward explanation is that it was fabricated, badly misremembered, or a distortion of a real but very different data point.

This kind of misinformation spreads fast because it is almost impossible to disprove in the moment. Most people do not have Fox News poll archives bookmarked. A confident, specific claim — a named outlet, a named candidate, a precise number — feels credible even when it is invented. If you see a poll cited without a direct link to the original release, treat it with real skepticism before sharing.

Sources

  • Fox News Poll (October 2024)

    Fox News polling in Ohio's 2024 Senate race showed the race as competitive, but did not show Sherrod Brown leading by 8 points. Late polls showed Brown trailing or in a very tight race against Bernie Moreno.

  • RealClearPolitics Ohio Senate Poll Averages 2024

    Polling averages for the Ohio Senate race in 2024 showed Bernie Moreno and Sherrod Brown in a close contest, with no Fox News poll showing Brown ahead by 8 points. Brown ultimately lost the race to Moreno.

  • PolitiFact

    No credible fact-check record confirms a Fox News poll showing Sherrod Brown leading by 8 points in Ohio. Such a large lead would have been widely reported and is inconsistent with the polling landscape of the 2024 Ohio Senate race.

  • Associated Press Election Results 2024

    Sherrod Brown lost the 2024 Ohio Senate race to Republican Bernie Moreno by approximately 6 percentage points, making an 8-point polling lead claim highly inconsistent with the actual outcome and polling trajectory.

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