World on track to breach 1.5°C warming threshold by 2030 at current emission rates, major climate report warns
A comprehensive climate report by over 70 scientists finds that human-induced warming has reached 1.37°C in 2025, with the 1.5°C Paris Agreement limit likely to be crossed around 2030 if emissions continue at current levels. Global greenhouse gas emissions hit a record 56.8 billion tonnes of CO2 equivalent in 2024, driven primarily by fossil fuel burning, while the planet's carbon budget for staying below 1.5°C will be exhausted in approximately three years. The findings underscore the urgency of transitioning to renewable energy and reducing emissions to prevent the most severe climate impacts.
The fourth edition of the Indicators of Global Climate Change (IGCC) report, published in Earth System Science Data, presents a comprehensive analysis of climate change indicators from over 70 scientists across 56 institutions in 17 countries. The report documents that human-induced warming has reached 1.37°C in 2025, with current emission trajectories leading to a breach of the 1.5°C threshold around 2030. The planet's remaining carbon budget—130 billion tonnes of CO2 from the start of 2026—will be exhausted in roughly three years at present emission rates. Beyond temperature, the report tracks accelerating impacts including record sea level rise (23cm since 1901), marine heatwaves that have tripled in frequency since 1991, and an Earth energy imbalance that has more than doubled in recent decades. Scientists emphasize that nearly all recent warming is driven by human activities, particularly fossil fuel combustion, while noting that solutions including renewable energy investment and electrification are already available.
Limitations & open questions
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- EuronewsCenter
World will cross 1.5°C warming limit by 2030 if emissions continue at current rate - report
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