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Politics10h ago82% confidenceConfidence 82% — the share of independent, credible sources corroborating the core facts.

Lula Widens Lead Over Flavio Bolsonaro in Brazilian Presidential Race, Poll Shows

1 source

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has increased his lead over opposition Senator Flavio Bolsonaro to 44% versus 38% in a potential runoff, according to a Quaest poll released Wednesday. The poll was conducted after reports linked Flavio to a disgraced banker regarding alleged financing of a biographical film about his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro. The findings are significant as Brazil prepares for its October presidential election, with Lula recovering ground from a May poll where the two candidates were nearly tied.

A Quaest poll commissioned by brokerage Genial shows President Lula leading opposition Senator Flavio Bolsonaro 44% to 38% in a potential second-round runoff, up from a May poll showing Lula at 42% and Flavio at 41%. The timing of the poll follows Intercept Brasil's publication of allegations that Flavio negotiated a $24 million investment from former Banco Master owner Daniel Vorcaro to finance a film inspired by his father's life; Flavio has denied any wrongdoing. In a first-round scenario, Lula would receive 39%, Bolsonaro 29%, with other candidates Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema receiving 3%, 3%, and 2% respectively. The survey of 2,004 people conducted June 5-8 carries a margin of error of two percentage points. Brazil's electoral system requires a second-round runoff if no candidate achieves over 50% of valid votes in the first round.

What different sources said

  • Brazil's Lula widens lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of presidential vote, poll shows

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