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Publications3d ago83% confidenceConfidence 83% — the share of independent, credible sources corroborating the core facts.

Large Language Models as Modal Models in Linguistics: A Framework for Understanding Their Explanatory Value

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A new preprint proposes using the philosophy-of-science concept of 'modal modeling' to evaluate what large language models (LLMs) can and cannot explain about human language. The paper argues that LLMs occupy a middle ground between being merely speculative tools and being genuine explanations of how human language works. This framework aims to move debates in linguistics beyond polarized positions and toward a more precise assessment of LLMs' scientific value.

A preprint submitted to arXiv by Haruto Suzuki applies the philosophical framework of modal modeling to clarify the role of large language models in linguistic theory. The paper identifies three dominant positions in current debates—insulationism (LLMs are irrelevant to human language), eliminativism (LLMs can replace traditional theories), and conciliationism (LLMs are useful research tools)—and argues that none fully captures the epistemic situation. The authors contend that LLMs have genuine value as 'minimal models' capable of providing 'how-possibly explanations' (HPEs), meaning they can test whether certain outcomes related to language acquisition and competence are even theoretically possible. However, the paper concludes that current LLMs do not meet the stricter requirements for 'how-actually explanations' (HAEs), which would require structural correspondence to human cognitive mechanisms as understood through mechanistic accounts of scientific explanation. The authors propose treating LLM explanatory power as lying on a continuum between HPEs and HAEs, offering a more calibrated basis for integrating LLMs into the scientific study of language.

What's missing

As a preprint, this work has not yet undergone formal peer review, and its central philosophical claims—particularly the application of modal modeling to LLMs—have not been independently evaluated. The paper does not appear to include empirical tests of its proposed framework, leaving open the question of how researchers would operationally determine where a given LLM falls on the HPE-to-HAE continuum.

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  • Large Language Models as Modal Models in Linguistics

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