Kerala's Southwest Monsoon Enters Sluggish Phase After Strong Initial Onset
Kerala experienced a vigorous southwest monsoon onset in early June with heavy rainfall, but meteorologists expect conditions to weaken significantly over the next two weeks. The lack of offshore weather systems and calm ocean conditions are limiting the monsoon's intensity, with no extreme rainfall events recorded despite initial forecasts. A potentially weaker-than-normal monsoon season for Kerala could impact water availability and agriculture in the state.
After a characteristically strong start in the first 10 days of June, Kerala's southwest monsoon is expected to enter a relatively dormant phase, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). While the initial rains brought relief from high temperatures and replenished water bodies, meteorologists note that the monsoon has not produced the intense downpours forecast, with no districts recording rainfall in the 'extreme' or 'very heavy' categories. The primary cause is the absence of offshore trough systems and weather disturbances over the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea, which typically strengthen monsoon currents. IMD Director Neetha K. Gopal stated there are no indications of major weather systems developing before June 20, suggesting the monsoon will remain sluggish for approximately two weeks, though brief intensification may occur afterward. The unusual behavior—characterized by strong winds but shallow cloud development—raises concerns about a weaker-than-normal monsoon season for the state.
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- The HinduCenter
After strong onset, southwest monsoon to enter a sluggish phase in Kerala
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